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Red47
128513.8
568017.4
260927.1
Blue14
37058.5
299410.6
49397.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59140501001504714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.6
28.528.0
Auto1.8
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 16.5
2994
#42
10.60.6
7.26.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Second
5680
#11
17.40.6
10.910.4
Auto0.2
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 8.9
3705
#27
8.50.6
7.36.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
1285
#23
13.80.6
14.213.7
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 6.2
4939
#29
7.60.6
6.86.2
Auto-0.9
Teleop8.5
End0.0