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Red46
491425.3
90713.5
509211.3
Blue42
85427.8
86511.4
74610.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533701001504642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4914
#12
25.30.5
27.226.7
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
blue by 2.5
854
#5
27.80.6
20.220.8
Auto1.7
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
907
#31
13.50.5
14.714.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 2.1
865
#37
11.40.6
9.19.6
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5092
#22
11.30.5
10.39.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 0.9
746
#32
10.40.6
11.912.5
Auto1.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0