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Red36
61038.3
88611.6
55985.7
Blue131
111485.0
477713.3
91914.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4996015020025036131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#6
38.31.4
35.333.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop38.6
End0.0
blue by 46.7
85.03.2
71.174.4
Auto7.1
Teleop77.9
End0.0
Second
886
#20
11.61.4
17.816.4
Auto1.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 3.2
919
#17
14.83.2
9.312.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
5598
#38
5.71.4
5.44.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop6.2
End0.0
blue by 7.6
4777
#18
13.33.2
11.815.1
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0