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Red8
154714.8
406919.4
37058.5
Blue34
577620.7
49397.6
394913.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42300206080100120140834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#16
19.42.1
23.321.2
Auto1.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5776
#13
20.70.1
13.113.2
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
1547
#30
14.82.1
11.19.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 1.3
3949
#19
13.50.1
13.613.7
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
3705
#27
8.52.1
6.74.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop9.3
End0.0
red by 0.9
4939
#29
7.60.1
6.26.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop8.5
End0.0