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Red70
563111.6
558015.9
86511.4
Blue60
131037.0
507611.7
558110.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1954040801001201407060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5580
#14
15.93.5
11.615.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 21.2
37.00.7
28.429.1
Auto6.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
5631
#25
11.63.5
4.17.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Level
5076
#24
11.70.7
10.010.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
865
#37
11.43.5
9.613.1
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 1.3
5581
#36
10.10.7
12.413.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0