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Red135
131037.0
577620.7
18835.9
Blue151
49397.6
111485.0
494635.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions541180100150200250135151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.05.4
29.134.5
Auto6.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
blue by 48.0
85.02.8
77.079.8
Auto7.1
Teleop77.9
End0.0
Second
188
#2
35.95.4
24.029.4
Auto0.3
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 0.5
35.42.8
28.831.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Third
5776
#13
20.75.4
13.218.6
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 13.2
4939
#29
7.62.8
6.39.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop8.5
End0.0