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Red41
503213.6
91914.8
394913.5
Blue94
491425.3
563111.6
336029.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295802040801001201404194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
919
#17
14.80.9
10.611.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 14.9
3360
#10
29.72.8
23.526.3
Auto2.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
5032
#28
13.60.9
10.711.6
Auto0.7
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 11.7
4914
#12
25.32.8
24.327.1
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
3949
#19
13.50.9
13.714.5
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 1.9
5631
#25
11.62.8
7.610.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0