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Red131
494635.4
400134.7
154714.8
Blue135
85427.8
132524.9
336029.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6470050100150200131135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.44.6
31.736.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
3360
#10
29.74.3
26.330.6
Auto2.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
34.74.6
27.231.8
Auto1.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 6.9
854
#5
27.84.3
23.427.7
Auto1.7
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Third
1547
#30
14.84.6
8.513.2
Auto0.8
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 10.1
24.94.3
21.525.8
Auto2.7
Teleop22.3
End0.0