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Red90
91914.8
577620.7
128513.8
Blue70
558015.9
55197.2
131037.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365701001509070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5776
#13
20.73.3
18.621.9
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 16.3
37.00.9
34.535.4
Auto6.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
919
#17
14.83.3
11.514.8
Auto-0.9
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 1.1
5580
#14
15.90.9
15.416.3
Auto-0.8
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
1285
#23
13.83.3
10.814.1
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 6.7
5519
#26
7.20.9
6.27.2
Auto-1.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0