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Red27
394913.5
507611.7
90713.5
Blue0
88611.6
7715.1
49518.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43260206080100120270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3949
#19
13.51.0
14.513.5
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 2.0
886
#20
11.61.2
12.811.6
Auto1.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
Second
907
#31
13.51.0
14.513.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 4.7
4951
#34
8.81.2
10.08.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
5076
#24
11.71.0
12.611.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 6.5
771
#39
5.11.2
6.75.6
Auto0.4
Teleop4.7
End0.0