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Red71
311719.0
124616.7
74614.9
Blue8
338614.4
399021.9
398812.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44500100150200718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#24
19.00.5
17.417.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 3.0
21.90.7
22.822.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
16.70.5
15.115.7
Auto1.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 2.3
3386
#39
14.40.8
15.314.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
746
#14
14.90.4
13.714.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 2.9
3988
#15
12.10.8
13.012.3
Auto0.8
Teleop11.3
End0.0