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Red156
124127.5
132540.2
130520.8
Blue70
311719.0
124616.7
74614.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7542010015020015670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.21.4
35.336.7
Auto1.2
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 21.2
3117
#24
19.00.6
18.418.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
27.51.4
22.624.0
Auto0.6
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 10.8
16.70.6
16.116.6
Auto1.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
1305
#31
20.81.7
14.916.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 5.9
746
#14
14.90.5
14.514.9
Auto0.7
Teleop14.3
End0.0