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Red89
503121.9
222833.0
425213.7
Blue36
447617.2
78122.3
338713.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59522040801001208936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.6
30.330.9
Auto0.9
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 10.7
781
#8
22.30.2
22.922.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
5031
#13
21.90.6
19.119.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 4.7
4476
#18
17.20.3
17.817.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4252
#37
13.70.6
11.011.5
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 0.2
3387
#19
13.90.3
14.514.3
Auto0.8
Teleop13.1
End0.0