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Red175
285255.0
205680.5
371019.6
Blue78
503121.9
222833.0
425213.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15745010020025030017578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.50.6
77.377.9
Auto10.3
Teleop70.2
End0.0
red by 47.5
33.00.3
31.731.9
Auto0.9
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
55.00.6
51.752.3
Auto2.1
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 33.1
5031
#13
21.90.3
20.520.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
3710
#30
19.60.6
16.316.9
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 5.9
4252
#37
13.70.3
12.312.6
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0