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Red100
124127.5
132540.2
130520.8
Blue54
398612.7
293515.4
559613.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703305010015010054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.5
33.534.1
Auto1.2
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 24.8
15.40.3
14.815.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Second
27.50.5
20.821.4
Auto0.6
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 14.1
5596
#22
13.40.3
12.913.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
1305
#31
20.80.7
12.713.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 8.1
3986
#32
12.70.3
12.212.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0