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Red26
311719.0
398812.1
507612.4
Blue38
505113.7
181518.8
222833.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37360102030506070802638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#24
19.00.5
17.817.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 14.1
33.00.0
14.214.2
Auto0.9
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
5076
#40
12.40.3
10.310.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 6.4
1815
#10
18.80.0
12.912.9
Auto0.8
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
3988
#15
12.10.5
9.99.4
Auto0.8
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 1.6
5051
#20
13.70.0
11.111.1
Auto1.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0