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Red27
355011.7
478311.0
471812.8
Blue50
46275.7
285255.0
47327.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2538060801001201401602750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4718
#28
12.80.1
7.47.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 42.1
55.01.0
19.220.3
Auto2.1
Teleop52.9
End0.0
Second
3550
#41
11.70.1
12.112.1
Auto0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 3.9
4732
#42
7.81.0
9.810.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.2
End0.0
Third
4783
#38
11.00.1
8.28.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
red by 5.3
4627
#47
5.71.0
8.59.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.9
End0.0