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Qual 132015 Greater Toronto East Regional
Red42
470411.3
542815.3
503121.9
Blue15
50948.4
219813.2
293515.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2537060801001201401604215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#13
21.91.2
11.1→12.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 6.5
2935
#9
15.41.8
16.5→14.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Second
5428
#17
15.31.2
8.3→9.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 2.1
2198
#25
13.21.8
12.8→11.0
Auto1.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
4704
#34
11.31.2
8.5→9.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 2.9
5094
#29
8.41.8
7.4→5.6
Auto0.9
Teleop7.5
End0.0