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Red28
132540.2
21859.6
130520.8
Blue58
338614.4
124616.7
399021.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504002060801001201402858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.9
24.823.9
Auto1.2
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 18.3
21.91.2
19.520.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
1305
#31
20.81.4
17.015.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 4.1
16.71.2
8.79.9
Auto1.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
2185
#36
9.61.4
8.77.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 4.8
3386
#39
14.41.2
15.216.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0