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Red49
425213.7
37818.4
338713.9
Blue68
23409.6
205680.5
8869.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32690501001504968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#11
18.40.9
17.117.9
Auto0.8
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 62.1
80.50.2
42.442.5
Auto10.3
Teleop70.2
End0.0
Second
3387
#19
13.90.9
11.512.3
Auto0.8
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 4.2
886
#26
9.70.1
11.411.6
Auto0.3
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
4252
#37
13.70.9
10.211.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 4.1
2340
#35
9.60.2
12.212.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0