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Red24
505113.7
317314.9
50948.4
Blue40
48258.2
399021.9
37818.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2258040801001201402440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#27
14.90.3
13.513.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 7.0
21.91.2
21.220.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
5051
#20
13.70.3
10.910.6
Auto1.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 4.7
378
#11
18.41.2
16.515.3
Auto0.8
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
5094
#29
8.40.3
3.73.3
Auto0.9
Teleop7.5
End0.0
red by 0.2
4825
#43
8.21.2
16.415.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0