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Red23
398612.7
8869.7
124127.5
Blue23
507612.4
181518.8
219813.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423002060801002323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.9
16.515.5
Auto0.6
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 8.7
1815
#10
18.80.8
13.012.2
Auto0.8
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
3986
#32
12.71.5
12.410.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 0.4
2198
#25
13.20.8
9.58.7
Auto1.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
886
#26
9.70.9
12.711.7
Auto0.3
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5076
#40
12.40.5
10.19.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0