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Red2
293515.4
42483.8
47327.8
Blue6
23409.6
21859.6
56528.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3728020608010026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.42.9
16.613.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 5.8
2185
#36
9.62.0
7.55.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Second
4732
#42
7.82.9
9.76.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 1.8
2340
#35
9.62.0
12.910.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
4248
#46
3.82.9
10.47.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5652
#45
8.72.0
9.77.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0