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Red28
124127.5
505113.7
470411.3
Blue44
338614.4
21859.6
425213.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353202060801002844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.1
15.515.4
Auto0.6
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 13.1
3386
#39
14.40.9
14.815.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
5051
#20
13.70.2
10.610.4
Auto1.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Level
4252
#37
13.70.9
13.314.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
4704
#34
11.30.2
10.19.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 1.7
2185
#36
9.60.9
5.56.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0