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Red24
42483.8
503121.9
571913.0
Blue18
124616.7
40159.6
8869.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262904060801001201401602418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#13
21.90.3
12.712.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 5.2
16.70.5
9.18.6
Auto1.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
5719
#16
13.00.3
7.16.8
Auto0.5
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 3.3
886
#26
9.70.3
11.711.5
Auto0.3
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
4248
#46
3.80.3
7.57.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.0
blue by 5.8
4015
#44
9.60.5
8.78.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0