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Red0
56528.7
48258.2
355011.7
Blue65
559613.4
399021.9
201321.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245404080100120140065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3550
#41
11.71.5
9.17.6
Auto0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 10.2
21.91.1
22.623.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
5652
#45
8.71.5
7.15.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 12.6
2013
#12
21.31.1
17.218.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4825
#43
8.21.5
13.311.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5596
#22
13.41.1
11.512.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0