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Red6
398612.7
338614.4
46275.7
Blue18
311719.0
50948.4
42483.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3334050100150200250300618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3386
#39
14.41.4
15.614.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 4.6
3117
#24
19.01.4
17.215.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
3986
#32
12.71.4
10.89.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
5094
#29
8.41.4
10.59.1
Auto0.9
Teleop7.5
End0.0
Third
4627
#47
5.71.4
7.96.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.9
End0.0
red by 1.9
4248
#46
3.81.4
7.25.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.0