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Red34
503610.0
46275.7
398812.1
Blue22
219813.2
371019.6
48258.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294201001503422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3988
#15
12.10.2
15.715.9
Auto0.8
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 7.5
3710
#30
19.61.6
12.510.9
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
5036
#21
10.00.2
9.89.9
Auto0.7
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 3.2
2198
#25
13.21.6
17.315.7
Auto1.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
4627
#47
5.70.2
6.66.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 2.5
4825
#43
8.21.6
11.810.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0