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Red25
447617.2
222833.0
338614.4
Blue18
23409.6
293515.4
317314.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633002040801001201401602518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.02.5
26.824.3
Auto0.9
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 17.6
15.41.5
15.113.6
Auto0.0
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Second
4476
#18
17.22.5
19.517.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 2.3
3173
#27
14.91.5
10.69.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
3386
#39
14.42.5
14.311.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 4.8
2340
#35
9.61.5
10.79.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0