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Red26
37818.4
42483.8
471812.8
Blue46
311719.0
399021.9
542815.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255304060801001202646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#11
18.40.3
14.714.4
Auto0.8
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 3.5
21.90.1
23.723.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
4718
#28
12.80.3
9.49.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 6.1
3117
#24
19.00.1
15.815.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4248
#46
3.80.3
5.85.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.0
blue by 11.5
5428
#17
15.30.1
11.111.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0