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Red28
181518.8
57816.7
130520.8
Blue42
503121.9
132540.2
559613.4
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38600501001502002842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#31
20.81.2
13.211.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 19.4
40.20.9
29.929.1
Auto1.2
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Second
1815
#10
18.81.2
11.19.9
Auto0.8
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 3.1
5031
#13
21.91.4
16.515.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
578
#23
16.71.2
18.617.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 3.3
5596
#22
13.41.4
12.711.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0