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Red35
355011.7
505113.7
21859.6
Blue32
40159.6
353012.4
398612.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26290204060801001201403532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5051
#20
13.70.6
12.513.1
Auto1.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 0.9
3986
#32
12.70.2
9.49.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Second
3550
#41
11.70.6
7.68.3
Auto0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 0.7
3530
#33
12.40.2
12.112.3
Auto0.9
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
2185
#36
9.60.6
7.48.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Level
4015
#44
9.60.2
8.48.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0