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Red39
57816.7
503121.9
8869.7
Blue23
371019.6
399021.9
398612.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43422060801003923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#13
21.90.4
15.114.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Level
21.91.7
23.822.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
578
#23
16.70.4
17.317.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3710
#30
19.61.7
10.99.2
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
886
#26
9.70.2
11.210.9
Auto0.3
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 3.0
3986
#32
12.71.7
9.67.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0