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Red61
124127.5
40159.6
201321.3
Blue38
447617.2
478311.0
132540.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435601001502006138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.7
19.320.1
Auto0.6
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 12.7
40.20.6
29.128.5
Auto1.2
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Second
2013
#12
21.31.1
18.419.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
4476
#18
17.20.9
17.116.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4015
#44
9.61.1
8.69.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4783
#38
11.00.9
9.88.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0