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Red28
46275.7
42483.8
130520.8
Blue56
470411.3
355011.7
507612.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222904060801001202856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#31
20.80.3
11.912.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 8.4
5076
#40
12.41.4
10.211.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
4627
#47
5.70.3
6.77.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 6.0
3550
#41
11.72.1
8.310.4
Auto0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4248
#46
3.80.3
5.55.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.0
blue by 7.5
4704
#34
11.32.1
10.112.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0