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Red33
219813.2
542815.3
56528.7
Blue99
317314.9
285255.0
353012.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27700501001502002503399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5428
#17
15.30.1
11.211.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 39.6
55.02.6
45.448.0
Auto2.1
Teleop52.9
End0.0
Second
2198
#25
13.20.1
15.715.6
Auto1.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3173
#27
14.92.6
9.111.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
5652
#45
8.70.1
7.77.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 3.7
3530
#33
12.42.4
11.113.5
Auto0.9
Teleop11.5
End0.0