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Red102
130520.8
205680.5
293515.4
Blue34
48258.2
57816.7
398612.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions713305010015010234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.52.9
39.542.4
Auto10.3
Teleop70.2
End0.0
red by 63.8
578
#23
16.70.0
14.914.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
1305
#31
20.82.9
14.117.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 8.1
3986
#32
12.70.0
10.510.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
15.42.9
13.616.5
Auto0.0
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 7.2
4825
#43
8.20.0
14.514.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.3
End0.0