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Red15
181518.8
399021.9
470411.3
Blue26
40159.6
222833.0
285255.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454002060801001201526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.5
21.019.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 33.1
55.00.2
19.019.2
Auto2.1
Teleop52.9
End0.0
Second
1815
#10
18.81.5
14.412.9
Auto0.8
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 14.2
33.00.2
14.014.2
Auto0.9
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
4704
#34
11.31.5
10.08.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 1.7
4015
#44
9.60.2
8.89.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0