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Qual 162015 Waterloo Regional
Red138
167645.6
270217.9
128529.0
Blue148
540656.0
491739.6
133417.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50720100150200250300138148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#4
45.64.2
30.1→34.2
Auto0.3
Teleop45.3
End0.0
blue by 10.3
5406
#3
56.06.4
25.7→32.1
Auto0.1
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Second
1285
#9
29.04.2
15.5→19.6
Auto0.2
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 10.5
4917
#8
39.66.4
27.0→33.4
Auto0.7
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
2702
#22
17.96.9
9.4→16.3
Auto-1.9
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 0.3
1334
#28
17.66.4
18.5→24.9
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0