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Red2
461719.1
493917.4
316123.4
Blue66
480712.6
461829.5
124128.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49590100200300400500266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#17
23.43.7
18.114.4
Auto2.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 6.1
4618
#10
29.50.6
14.415.0
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
4617
#15
19.13.7
25.822.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 8.9
1241
#19
28.00.3
26.927.3
Auto0.5
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
4939
#23
17.42.2
8.66.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 4.7
4807
#25
12.60.6
18.018.5
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0