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Red19
494310.4
32925.2
490718.9
Blue75
130527.3
24421.2
467845.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476301001502001975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#18
25.21.7
24.422.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 20.1
45.31.0
24.925.9
Auto10.8
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
4907
#21
18.91.7
15.113.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 8.4
1305
#11
27.30.6
19.019.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
4943
#27
10.41.7
11.610.0
Auto0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 10.8
244
#13
21.20.6
18.519.1
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0