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Red284
293521.1
1114108.8
2056102.5
Blue105
515817.2
430827.4
403940.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216380100150200250300350284105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.84.7
91.195.7
Auto10.0
Teleop98.9
End0.0
red by 68.4
40.54.1
35.940.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
102.54.7
86.090.7
Auto8.7
Teleop93.8
End0.0
red by 75.2
4308
#12
27.44.1
21.325.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
2935
#14
21.14.7
19.424.1
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 3.9
5158
#26
17.24.1
10.214.4
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0