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Red0
28821.2
316123.4
2167.5
Blue33
24421.2
461719.1
32925.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3167050100150200033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#17DQ
23.42.2
14.412.2
Auto2.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 1.8
329
#18
25.22.6
22.820.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
288
#20
21.21.3
13.011.7
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Level
244
#13
21.21.6
19.117.6
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
216
#30
7.51.3
10.79.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 11.5
4617
#15
19.12.6
22.119.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0