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Red145
2056102.5
86517.4
480712.6
Blue73
133417.6
490718.9
293521.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12649010015020025014573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.51.3
90.792.0
Auto8.7
Teleop93.8
End0.0
red by 81.4
2935
#14
21.10.5
24.124.6
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
865
#16
17.41.3
9.310.6
Auto1.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 1.5
4907
#21
18.90.9
13.414.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
4807
#25
12.62.2
18.520.7
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 4.9
1334
#28
17.60.9
24.925.8
Auto0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0