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Red22
571913.8
130527.3
515817.2
Blue252
1114108.8
540656.0
128529.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2316305010020025030035040022252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#11
27.30.6
19.619.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 81.6
108.85.2
95.7101.0
Auto10.0
Teleop98.9
End0.0
Second
5158
#26
17.21.0
14.413.4
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 38.7
56.08.7
32.140.8
Auto0.1
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Third
5719
#29
13.80.6
11.611.1
Auto0.7
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 15.3
29.05.2
19.624.8
Auto0.2
Teleop28.8
End0.0