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Qual 252015 Waterloo Regional
Red108
403940.5
467845.3
270217.9
Blue110
408316.2
491739.6
461829.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84520100150200108110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#6
45.32.1
25.9→28.1
Auto10.8
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 5.7
4917
#8
39.64.2
33.4→37.6
Auto0.7
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Second
4039
#7
40.52.1
40.0→42.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 11.0
4618
#10
29.54.2
15.0→19.2
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
2702
#22
17.92.1
16.3→18.4
Auto-1.9
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 1.7
4083
#24
16.22.5
11.0→13.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0