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Red102
124128.0
293521.1
128529.0
Blue160
2056102.5
461719.1
167645.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571600100200250300350102160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.01.4
24.826.2
Auto0.2
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 73.5
102.50.5
92.092.5
Auto8.7
Teleop93.8
End0.0
Second
1241
#19
28.01.4
25.526.8
Auto0.5
Teleop27.5
End0.0
blue by 17.7
45.60.5
38.238.7
Auto0.3
Teleop45.3
End0.0
Third
2935
#14
21.11.4
24.626.0
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 2.0
4617
#15
19.10.9
19.520.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0