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Red6
2167.5
24421.2
480712.6
Blue96
28821.2
430827.4
467845.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43630100150200250696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#13
21.22.1
17.615.5
Auto0.5
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 24.1
45.33.3
28.131.4
Auto10.8
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
4807
#25
12.63.5
20.717.3
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 14.8
4308
#12
27.43.3
22.525.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
216
#30
7.52.1
9.47.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 13.7
288
#20
21.22.0
11.713.7
Auto0.9
Teleop20.3
End0.0