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Red110
403940.5
130527.3
490718.9
Blue76
461829.5
86517.4
494310.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions812705010015020011076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.52.9
42.245.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 11.0
4618
#10
29.53.3
19.222.5
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
1305
#11
27.31.7
19.120.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.3
End0.0
red by 9.9
865
#16
17.42.0
10.612.6
Auto1.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
4907
#21
18.92.9
14.317.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 8.5
4943
#27
10.43.3
7.010.3
Auto0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0