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Qual 342015 Waterloo Regional
Red156
494310.4
571913.8
1114108.8
Blue134
491739.6
490718.9
167645.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12686050100150200250156134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#1
108.81.9
101.4→103.3
Auto10.0
Teleop98.9
End0.0
red by 63.2
1676
#4
45.61.9
38.7→40.6
Auto0.3
Teleop45.3
End0.0
Second
5719
#29
13.81.9
12.6→14.4
Auto0.7
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 25.8
4917
#8
39.63.2
39.2→42.5
Auto0.7
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
4943
#27
10.43.1
10.3→13.4
Auto0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 8.5
4907
#21
18.93.2
17.2→20.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0